Fiscal policy

The government's revenues and spending, the fiscal deficit and how it is financed, what a large deficit does to interest rates, the balance of payments and current account deficit and their effect on the currency, how spending is funded, and the three fiscal stances.

11 min read workbook 5.3.6chapter worth 5 marks10-question quiz below
ExamTrue or false: the fiscal deficit is bridged by market borrowings, short and long term (true). Expansionary policy means spend more, tax less, run a deficit; contractionary the reverse with a surplus. A high current account deficit weakens the currency, which then helps exports.

What fiscal policy is

Fiscal policy is the set of government measures dealing with its revenues and expenses. Revenue comes primarily from taxation. Expenditure covers education, healthcare, police, the military, interest on borrowing, the administrative machinery, welfare benefits and more. When the government changes either side, it influences aggregate demand, supply, savings, investment and overall economic activity.

The fiscal deficit

The budgeted excess of the government's expenditure over its revenues in a year is the fiscal deficit, generally expressed as a percentage of GDP. It is bridged through market borrowings, both short-term and long-term. The consequence follows in one chain: a large deficit means more government borrowing, more borrowing pushes up interest rates in the economy, and high rates make it hard for corporate borrowers to access funds. A high interest rate environment is detrimental to growth.

Exam trapThe true-or-false in the sample questions

"The fiscal deficit is bridged by the government through market borrowings, both short-term and long-term." True. Treasury bills cover the short end and dated government securities the long end (chapter 2).

The balance of payments and the current account

A country's trade and other contracts with entities abroad produce receipts and payments, captured in an aggregate countrywide statement, the balance of payments (BOP). It includes payments for imports and receipts from exports, interest and dividends received and paid, and other transfers from abroad. The current account balance is the difference between these recurring revenue receipts and payments: a surplus when receipts exceed payments, a deficit when they fall short.

ConceptWhat a high current account deficit does

The syllabus treats a high deficit relative to GDP, caused by uncompetitive trade or excessive consumption, as a negative commentary on the economy. A high current account deficit weakens the nation's currency against others. That makes imports more expensive and hurts productivity, since capital goods and commodities cost more; it reduces the nation's creditworthiness and makes foreign currency borrowing dearer. The one relief: a depreciating currency makes exports more competitive and may help narrow the deficit. And if the country is seen as an attractive destination, FDI and portfolio inflows can offset the deficit and protect the currency from devaluation.

Worked exampleOne deficit, four consequences

A country imports far more than it exports. Its currency slides. The machinery its factories import costs more (productivity hit), lenders abroad demand a higher rate (creditworthiness hit), but its garment exporters find their prices suddenly competitive (the narrowing effect), and a wave of foreign investment into its start-ups steadies the currency (the offset).

How spending is funded

Recurring revenue
Income from direct and indirect taxation, interest on the government's debt investments, and dividend income from its equity in public sector undertakings.
Capital transactions
Borrowing in foreign and domestic currency, and the sale of assets, that is disinvestment in public sector undertakings.

Three fiscal stances

When usedWhat the government does and the result
NeutralIncome and expenditure are in equilibriumNo major change needed
ExpansionaryRecessions or a slow-moving economySpends more and taxes less, leaving more money with citizens and companies to spend and expand the economy; results in fiscal deficits
ContractionaryInflationary conditions and debt burdens that have overheated the economy to unsustainable levelsSpends less and taxes more, leaving less money to spend and cooling the economy; results in a fiscal surplus
Take these into the exam
  • Fiscal policy is the government's revenue (mainly taxation) and expenditure (education, healthcare, police, military, interest, administration, welfare). Changing either moves aggregate demand, supply, savings, investment and overall activity.
  • The fiscal deficit is the budgeted excess of expenditure over revenue, stated as a percentage of GDP, and is bridged by short-term and long-term market borrowing. A large deficit pushes up interest rates, crowds out corporate borrowers and hurts growth.
  • The balance of payments records receipts and payments with abroad; the current account balance is recurring receipts minus payments. A high current account deficit weakens the currency, raises import costs, cuts creditworthiness and makes foreign borrowing dearer, though a weaker currency makes exports more competitive and FDI or portfolio inflows can offset the deficit.
  • Spending is funded by recurring revenue (direct and indirect taxes, interest on debt investments, PSU dividends) and capital transactions (foreign and domestic borrowing, disinvestment). Neutral policy balances income and spending; expansionary spends more and taxes less in a slowdown, causing a deficit; contractionary spends less and taxes more in an overheated economy, producing a surplus.

Check yourself

Answer without looking back. Misses go to your mistake notebook and come back in revision.

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